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Blue Lacy Advisors, LLC - December Crude Oil Market Commentary

Minneapolis, MN | December 13, 2022 | By: Steve Sinos, Blue Lacy Advisors, LLC

Crude Oil

Crude oil calendar spreads softened further over the last week, with the front three months of WTI trading slightly in contango (upward sloping). WTI has, at times, seen its front half trade in contango, with peak quarterly forward premiums reaching 25 cents on the close earlier in the week. In line with this softer curve, European crude oil inventories appear to be rising. Having been steady for months, accelerated imports during October and November have pushed European onshore stocks up by >20mm bbls, above the 500mm bbls mark. This contrasts with recent changes in US inventories. A combined 28mm bbls were taken from the US Strategic Petrolem Reserve and commercial stocks during November, according to the EIA’s weekly reports. However, much of the US’s supply has been committed to exports. The most recent EIA weekly showed nearly 5mm bpd of crude oil exports from the US, just shy of the 5.2mm bpd record weekly estimate from earlier in the year.

*This summary is based off December 4, 2022

A free excerpt, such as this one, will be published on a delay periodically. This is an excerpt from Blue Lacy Advisors, LLC's (“Blue Lacy”) weekly commentary for clients, which is based on a collection of models, research/analytical subscriptions, and bespoke work. Each week Blue Lacy explores how market drivers included in these analyses might affect or be used in clients' planning, budgeting, and execution of strategy. Call Blue Lacy to make an appointment today!


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Phone: +1-832-413-3124

Steve has spent his career in strategy, risk, trading, and investment. He works with investors to source investments in opportunistic or high growth sectors, with particular interest in early-stage companies solving clearly defined problems.

He is currently a Managing Partner with Blue Lacy Advisors LLC, giving management teams and investors confidence in their decision making by supporting strategic planning and execution, risk management, commodity trading, and market analysis.

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