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Diesel Trades at Record Premium to Crude Oil, With Upcoming Maintenance Offering Continued Support

Minneapolis, MN | September 19, 2023 | By: Steve Sinos, Blue Lacy Advisors, LLC


Diesel Prices Rally into Maintenance


Since bottoming at $2.23/gal in May, Prompt NYMEX ULSD (HO) has rallied ~$1.07 to end the week at $3.30, following crude in making 2023 highs. That puts it at about 65% of the post-invasion high of $5.135.


NYMEX ULSD Post-Invasion Price History chart white and blue

Reclaiming that high seems unlikely, especially considering the steep backwardation between the October/November and the December/January contracts. December and January are trading ~20 cents behind October and November. The most active options contract for the balance of the year this week was the December $3.40 call, attracting 500 contracts of length on Friday, offsetting a market that otherwise saw the liquidation of long delta positions.


*This summary is based off September 10, 2023


A free excerpt, such as this one, will be published on a delay periodically. This is an excerpt from Blue Lacy Advisors, LLC's (“Blue Lacy”) weekly commentary for clients, which is based on a collection of models, research/analytical subscriptions, and bespoke work. Each week Blue Lacy explores how market drivers included in these analyses might affect or be used in clients' planning, budgeting, and execution of strategy. Call Blue Lacy to make an appointment today!


 

Meet the Author!


Phone: +1-832-413-3124


Steve has spent his career in strategy, risk, trading, and investment. He works with investors to source investments in opportunistic or high growth sectors, with particular interest in early-stage companies solving clearly defined problems.


He is currently a Managing Partner with Blue Lacy Advisors LLC, giving management teams and investors confidence in their decision making by supporting strategic planning and execution, risk management, commodity trading, and market analysis.


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